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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Baker Mayfield's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a material progression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 10.0 rate.
  • Baker Mayfield's 6.17 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a material boost in his running prowess over last season's 4.16 mark.
  • With an impressive tally of 2.80 yards-after-contact (92nd percentile), Baker Mayfield rates among the leading running QBs in football this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties rank as the 31st-worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has allowed a puny 107.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-fewest in the league.

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