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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

  • The Buccaneers have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 6.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to total 4.3 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Baker Mayfield has run for many more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).
  • Baker Mayfield's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.33 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.35 rate last year.

  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.2 per game on average).
  • When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the significance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.
  • The Detroit Lions defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing just 3.04 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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