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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Baker Mayfield's 4.30 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates a substantial boost in his running ability over last season's 3.35 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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