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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 239.5 (-114/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 245.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 239.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • The New Orleans defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Baker Mayfield has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (215.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).
  • Baker Mayfield's 64.4% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive reduction in his passing precision over last season's 71.1% figure.
  • Baker Mayfield's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, compiling just 7.02 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.18 mark last season.

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