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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 218.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 221.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 218.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

The Eagles safeties profile as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Baker Mayfield is predicted by the model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.1.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Eagles, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.2 per game) since the start of last season.

Baker Mayfield's 164.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season represents a noteable decline in his throwing ability over last season's 274.0 rate.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

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