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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 236.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (61.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season.

With an excellent tally of 268.0 adjusted passing yards per game (98th percentile), Baker Mayfield stands as one of the top QBs in football since the start of last season.

Baker Mayfield is positioned as one of the most accurate passers in football since the start of last season with an excellent 69.9% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 89th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Houston Texans defense has given up a feeble 64.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the smallest rate in football.

Since the start of last season, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a meager 7.2 yards.

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