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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 208.5 (-114/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 208.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is predicted by the model to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.6.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (202.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).

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