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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 240.5 (-103/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 242.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 240.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's game, Baker Mayfield is projected by the projections to wind up with the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.3.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for many fewer adjusted yards per game (214.0) this year than he did last year (274.0).
  • Baker Mayfield's passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 71.1% to 64.0%.
  • Baker Mayfield's 6.93 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a substantial regression in his throwing efficiency over last season's 8.2% mark.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, surrendering 7.34 adjusted yards-per-target: the 10th-fewest in football.

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