My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 245.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In tallying a staggering 30.5 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top quarterbacks in the league (80th percentile) in this statistic.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (75.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Patriots pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, allowing 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (207.0) this season than he did last season (274.0).
  • Baker Mayfield's 64.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable reduction in his passing precision over last year's 71.1% mark.
  • Baker Mayfield's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, notching a measly 6.94 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.18 mark last year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New England's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™