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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 242.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 63.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this contest, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by the projections to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

The Falcons pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.63 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the league.

The Falcons defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

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