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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (+155/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 238.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ +155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (62.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

Since the start of last season, the anemic Broncos defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a whopping 8.16 yards.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

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