Baker Mayfield Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 241.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
In this game, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by the model to have the 5th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.5.
Baker Mayfield's 280.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a substantial progression in his passing ability over last season's 231.0 figure.
Baker Mayfield's 71.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive progression in his throwing precision over last year's 63.6% rate.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
This year, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded a meager 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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