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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-129/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Baker Mayfield has attempted 31.7 throws per game this year, grading out in the 76th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
  • The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Buffalo's defense grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year as it relates to making interceptions, compiling a mere 0.54 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are forecasted by the model to call only 61.9 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • In totaling just 0.19 interceptions per game this year, Baker Mayfield stands among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (86th percentile).

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