Baker Mayfield Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Interceptions

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 18, 2023

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Panthers have intercepted 0.53 balls per game this year, ranking as the 7th-worst defense in the NFL by this metric

Favors Under

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.7 per game) this year.

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