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Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Saints safeties profile as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a huge 7.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 53.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is predicted by the model to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.6.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: fewest in football.

Baker Mayfield's 63.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive decline in his passing accuracy over last season's 71.1% mark.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

Baker Mayfield CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 14