Baker Mayfield Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Completions

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 62.1% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
This week, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by the predictive model to have the 9th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.5.
The New Orleans Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.4 per game) this year.
Baker Mayfield's passing precision has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.6% to 71.5%.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (a measly 53.2 per game on average).

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