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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-153/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -149 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -153.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers offense to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard now calling the plays.

The Buccaneers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the best in the league.

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