My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • After making up 12.1% of his team's run game usage last season, Baker Mayfield has been more involved in the running game this season, currently accounting for 18.2%.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's DT corps has been terrible since the start of last season, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 6th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 40.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.
  • In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is expected by the model to accrue the 7th-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 3.6.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™