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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run on 45.5% of their chances: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to earn 3.1 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Miami's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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