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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buccaneers to run on 36.7% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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