Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 132.3 total plays run: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

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