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Bailey Zappe TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-210/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

This year, the feeble Bills defense has allowed a colossal 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In racking up a measly 20.3 pass attempts per game this year, Bailey Zappe places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (14th percentile) in this regard.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Bailey Zappe's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 65.0%.

Bailey Zappe has been one of the weakest touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a terrible 0.75 per game while ranking in the 17th percentile.

The Bills defense has surrendered the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the league: 1.13 per game this year.

More Bailey Zappe Player Props

Bailey Zappe TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17