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Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in football versus the Denver Broncos defense this year (72.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the deficient Denver Broncos defense has given up a monstrous 1.79 TDs through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Denver's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the New England Patriots.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Bailey Zappe is anticipated by our trusted projection set to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Bailey Zappe's 61.7% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a significant decrease in his passing precision over last year's 70.0% mark.

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