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Bailey Zappe Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

While Bailey Zappe has garnered 4.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New England's run game in this week's contest at 10.3%.

This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has conceded a puny 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 27th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 10th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Bailey Zappe has averaged a mere 1.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (12th percentile).

Bailey Zappe has grinded out a mere 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among quarterbacks (9th percentile).

With an awful tally of 2.9 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (18th percentile), Bailey Zappe rates as one of the bottom running QBs in football this year.

More Bailey Zappe Player Props

Bailey Zappe Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17