Bailey Zappe Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Bailey Zappe

NFL · Player Props

Bailey Zappe

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 10:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Bailey Zappe Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 210.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 200.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -5.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.5 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
In this contest, Bailey Zappe is anticipated by our trusted projection set to total the 8th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.4.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the most adjusted yards in the league (301.0 per game) vs. the Chargers defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (59.1% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
With a terrible tally of 41.0 adjusted passing yards per game (19th percentile), Bailey Zappe rates among the worst passers in the league this year.
Bailey Zappe's 50.3% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a meaningful regression in his passing precision over last season's 70.0% rate.

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