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Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe Interceptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In racking up a measly 20.3 pass attempts per game this year, Bailey Zappe places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (14th percentile) in this regard.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • In throwing a measly 0.50 interceptions per game this year, Bailey Zappe slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (80th percentile).
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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