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Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.
  • While Bailey Zappe has garnered 4.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New England's run game in this week's contest at 10.3%.
  • The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots as the 10th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Bailey Zappe has averaged a mere 1.1 rush attempts per game this year, one of the smallest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (12th percentile).

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