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Bailey Zappe Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 41.5% rate of rushing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the New England Patriots.

The predictive model expects Bailey Zappe to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (11.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.6% in games he has played).

The Broncos defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

The projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Bailey Zappe to accrue 2.9 carries in this contest, on balance: the 11th-fewest among all quarterbacks.

More Bailey Zappe Player Props

Bailey Zappe CarriesPlayer Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Bailey Zappe Carries
Player Prop Week 16