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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Austin Hooper Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-770).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -740 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -770.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (59.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

The Patriots offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 90.8%.

The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.43 per game) versus the Browns defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.48 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.

Austin Hooper has totaled far fewer air yards this season (12.0 per game) than he did last season (24.0 per game).

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