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Austin Hooper Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Hooper Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-1450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1450.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 82.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Austin Hooper has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).

Austin Hooper's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 26.3.

This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a paltry 0.15 passing TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

Austin Hooper TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Hooper Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15