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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+680/-810).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -610 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -810.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 92.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 75.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Austin Hooper has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).
  • Austin Hooper's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 26.3.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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