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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 92.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows a noteable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 75.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Austin Hooper's 13.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 26.3.

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