Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 22, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2026 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+230/-330).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -330.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.4% to 79.5%.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
Austin Hooper's 13.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 26.3.
Austin Hooper's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 2.6 rate.
This year, the stout Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded a feeble 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 8th-best rate in the league.

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