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Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+172/-198).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +196 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 79.6%.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) to TEs this year (77.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.

Austin Hooper has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (5.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.3%).

More Austin Hooper Player Props

Austin Hooper ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 19