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This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -8.5-point underdogs.Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Patriots to pass on 53.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to see only 125.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.Austin Hooper's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 26.3.Austin Hooper's receiving performance has worsened this season, totaling a mere 1.5 adjusted receptions vs 2.6 last season.
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