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Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Austin Hooper's 82.4% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game this season (5.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.3%).

Austin Hooper's receiving skills have diminished this year, compiling a measly 1.4 adjusted catches vs 2.6 last year.

The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

Austin Hooper ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 16