Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-192/+155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 82.7%.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 9th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Austin Hooper has run fewer routes this season (34.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (44.9%).

Austin Hooper's 1.4 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys an impressive reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 2.6 mark.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.6%) vs. tight ends this year (67.6%).

More Austin Hooper Player Props

Austin Hooper ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 15