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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 83.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 75.4% rate.
  • The New York Giants safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Austin Hooper's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 26.3.
  • Austin Hooper's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this season represents a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 2.6 figure.

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