My Account Log Out
 
 
Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 92.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive boost in his receiving proficiency over last season's 75.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense this year (5.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.3%).
  • Austin Hooper's 1.3 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 2.6 mark.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™