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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's unit has been dreadful last year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

While Austin Hooper has received 12.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of New England's passing offense in this week's contest at 6.8%.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Last year, the imposing Raiders defense has allowed a paltry 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

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