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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-156).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.

Austin Hooper's 20.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 9.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 81.0% to 61.4%.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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