Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been a key part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 12.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among tight ends.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties project as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 59.7%.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.