Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to notch 4.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has been heavily involved in his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 12.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 43.9%.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.