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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs Cleveland Browns

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+155/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 90.8%.

Austin Hooper's 11.0 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 7.9 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.48 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 29.9 per game) this year.

Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his team's air attack this season (5.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.3%).

More Austin Hooper Player Props

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