My Account Log Out

reorder

Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 75.4% to 87.4%.

Austin Hooper's 11.5 adjusted yards per target this year marks an impressive gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 51.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In terms of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.93 seconds per play, the model projects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.

After averaging 24.0 air yards per game last year, Austin Hooper has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 11.0 per game.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™