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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • As it relates to air yards, Austin Hooper grades out in the towering 80th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a striking 24.0 per game.
  • Austin Hooper's 83.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 75.4% mark.
  • Austin Hooper's 11.0 adjusted yards per target this year marks an impressive growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.9 rate.
  • The Panthers defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (58.0) vs. TEs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Austin Hooper's 7.0% Target% this season marks a meaningful diminishment in his air attack usage over last season's 12.3% figure.

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