Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 19, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2026 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +101 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 75.4% to 79.6%.
Austin Hooper's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this season marks a significant progression in his receiving skills over last season's 7.9 mark.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.6%) to TEs this year (77.6%).

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
Austin Hooper has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this season (5.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.3%).

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