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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-113/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • The New England O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Austin Hooper's 10.5 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.9 figure.
  • The New York Jets linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13 points.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Austin Hooper has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (16.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).
  • Austin Hooper's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 26.3.

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