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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • Austin Hooper's 82.4% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 75.4% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing game this season (5.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.3%).
  • Austin Hooper has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (13.0 per game) than he did last season (24.0 per game).
  • Austin Hooper has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).
  • Austin Hooper's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive regression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.6% mark.

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