reorder

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.4% to 85.4%.

Austin Hooper's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 11.84 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.92 mark last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this year (5.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.3%).

Austin Hooper has accrued far fewer air yards this year (14.0 per game) than he did last year (24.0 per game).

Austin Hooper's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 27.0 mark.

More Austin Hooper Player Props

Austin Hooper Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12